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League One
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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
1 - 2
Wigan

Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Derby County 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 Derby come into this match in better form than their opponents, and we are expecting them to start the campaign strongly here to match their promotion ambitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
47.34% (-2.644 -2.64) 26.49% (0.364 0.36) 26.17% (2.282 2.28)
Both teams to score 48.47% (1.022 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.294 0.29)55.62% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.242 0.24)76.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-1.071 -1.07)23.5% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-1.579 -1.58)57.53% (1.58 1.58)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (2.193 2.19)36.65% (-2.191 -2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (2.137 2.14)73.44% (-2.136 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.34%
    Wigan Athletic 26.17%
    Draw 26.49%
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.702 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.407 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.461 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.443 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Derby vs Wigan

Derby County
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wigan Athletic
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Wigan
1-1
Derby
Garner (81')
Evans (61')
Waghorn (93')
Bielik (22'), Bogle (30'), Lawrence (43')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
1-0
Wigan
Shinnie (91')
Shinnie (64'), Malone (65')

Robinson (51'), Macleod (92')
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-1
Wigan
Bennett (62'), Malone (78')
Johnson (41'), Bennett (59'), Wilson (63'), Tomori (71')
Massey (25')
Morsy (37')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Wigan
0-1
Derby

Morsy (32')
Naismith (15')
Marriott (21')
Wilson (32'), Bryson (76')
> Match Report
Dec 31, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-0
Wigan
Johnson (57'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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