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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Port Vale

McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Port Vale

Although Port Vale will be looking to end their three-game winless league run, we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Bristol Rovers side that have taken four points from their last two home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
48.72% (-1.191 -1.19) 24.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.2% (1.172 1.17)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.969 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.802 0.8)45.07% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.766 0.77)67.42% (-0.764 -0.76)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)18.6% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.271 -0.27)49.88% (0.273 0.27)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (1.326 1.33)30.2% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (1.558 1.56)66.36% (-1.555 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.72%
    Port Vale 27.2%
    Draw 24.07%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.224 0.22)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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