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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
49.95% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.41% (0.038 0.04) 25.64% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.104 -0.1)47.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.096 -0.1)69.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)19.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (-0.143 -0.14)50.8% (0.143 0.14)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.94%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
    Draw 24.41%
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Forest Green

Barnsley
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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