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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
23.92% ( 0.55) | 25.17% ( 0.3) | 50.91% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -0.67) | 52.27% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0.58) | 73.96% ( 0.58) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( 0.13) | 36.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( 0.13) | 73.57% ( -0.13) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( -0.61) | 20.53% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.96% ( -0.98) | 53.04% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
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