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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Portsmouth

Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Adedoyin (88')
Rodgers (49'), Fernandes (62'), Leigh (73')
Jensen (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')
Mousinho (11'), Morrell (46'), Scarlett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
23.92% (0.553 0.55) 25.17% (0.297 0.3) 50.91% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.67 -0.67)52.27% (0.675 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.579 -0.58)73.96% (0.584 0.58)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.135 0.13)36.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.135 0.13)73.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.611 -0.61)20.53% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.979 -0.98)53.04% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 23.92%
    Portsmouth 50.91%
    Draw 25.16%
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.91%

How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth

Accrington Stanley
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
4-0
Accrington
Hirst (16', 56'), Raggett (28'), Tunnicliffe (69')
Robertson (2'), Romeo (38')
Harness (21')

Pell (47'), Nottingham (86')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Portsmouth
Pell (50'), Butcher (77')
Sykes (45+2'), Hamilton (64')
Curtis (18'), Harness (86')
Raggett (28'), Curtis (64')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Accrington

Harness (18'), Downing (28'), Byers (64'), White (66')
Phillips (23')
Rodgers (62')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Accrington
3-3
Portsmouth
Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')
Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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