Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
46.86% | 24.94% | 28.2% |
Both teams to score 54.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.81% | 48.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.66% | 70.34% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% | 20.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% | 53.15% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% | 31.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% | 67.4% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |