Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
57.06% | 23.7% | 19.23% |
Both teams to score 48.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.43% | 51.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% | 73.37% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% | 17.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% | 48.65% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.89% | 41.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.35% | 77.65% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |