Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.45% | 26.53% | 40.02% |
Both teams to score 52.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% | 52.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% | 29.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% | 65.82% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% | 25.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% | 60.87% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |