Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Madrid |
30.37% | 25.68% | 43.95% |
Both teams to score 53.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% | 50.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.85% | 72.15% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% | 30.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% | 66.77% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% | 22.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.55% | 56.44% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |