Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
54.8% ( -0.73) | 24.39% ( 0.43) | 20.81% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.66% ( -1.35) | 52.34% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.97% ( -1.17) | 74.03% ( 1.17) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.78) | 19.01% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -1.32) | 50.57% ( 1.32) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% ( -0.46) | 39.85% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( -0.43) | 76.51% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |