Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
61.68% ( -0.73) | 21.71% ( 0.42) | 16.61% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -1.24) | 47.41% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -1.16) | 69.62% ( 1.15) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.64) | 14.84% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% ( -1.22) | 43.16% ( 1.22) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( -0.35) | 41.77% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% ( -0.3) | 78.23% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |