Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
23.62% ( 0.4) | 24.57% ( 0.03) | 51.8% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.83% ( 0.27) | 50.17% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.87% ( 0.24) | 72.13% ( -0.24) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.1% ( 0.52) | 35.89% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.33% ( 0.52) | 72.67% ( -0.52) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.06) | 19.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.1) | 51.12% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.62% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |