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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Betis


de Marcos (49')
Vivian (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jose (6')
Perez (43'), Pezzella (56'), Guardado (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, May 1 at 6pm in La Liga

Real Betis

All competitions
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Betis
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

 While Athletic Bilbao have struggled for consistency on home soil in recent times, Real Betis have faltered on the road, losing each of their last three away league games. With that in mind, we expect Athletic and Betis to share the points at San Mames as both sides aim to avoid defeat and keep their respective European pushes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
62.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.038 0.04)72.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.027999999999992 0.03)15.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.37%
    Real Betis 15.55%
    Draw 22.07%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
63.8%
Draw
23.2%
Real Betis
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
gameweek 15
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Vesga (54')
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')

de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
Feb 4, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Betis
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
 Athletic Bilbao win 4-1 on penalties
Juanmi (84')
Ruibal (55'), Carvalho (83')
Garcia (90+4')
Berchiche (39'), Alvarez (42'), Garcia (48'), Martinez (53'), Lekue (72'), Garcia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517
> La Liga Full Table


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