Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
50.13% ( 0.34) | 27.5% ( -0.15) | 22.37% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 42.31% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.24% ( 0.31) | 61.76% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.44% ( 0.23) | 81.56% ( -0.23) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( 0.3) | 24.9% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% ( 0.42) | 59.52% ( -0.42) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.34% ( -0.02) | 43.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.16% ( -0.01) | 79.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 50.12% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |