MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 13:30:19| >> :60:77:77:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium
Mali national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 3
Mali

Al-Dawsari (58')
Albulayhi (13'), Al Amri (79'), Al-Malki (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Doumbia (14'), Traore (42'), Sinayoko (71')
Samassekou (10'), Doumbia (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-2 Nigeria
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Uganda
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mali

Saudi Arabia ground out a respectable result against Nigeria last time out and will therefore be confident of repeating the trick or better on Tuesday. Mali have been in sensational form of late and will be primed to record another noticeable success against Saudi Arabia in Portimao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawMali
19.21% (0.906 0.91) 26.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 54.64% (-0.937 -0.94)
Both teams to score 41.81% (1.221 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (0.859 0.86)60.27% (-0.858 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (0.648 0.65)80.45% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.77% (1.593 1.59)46.22% (-1.592 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.1% (1.204 1.2)81.89% (-1.202 -1.2)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.24% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)55.68% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 19.21%
    Mali 54.63%
    Draw 26.14%
Saudi ArabiaDrawMali
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.252 0.25)
2-0 @ 3.06% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.21%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.28% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 15.45% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-2 @ 11.61% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.63%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Mali

Saudi Arabia
50.0%
Draw
5.6%
Mali
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2019 6pm
International Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
1-1
Mali
Al-Dawsari (53')
Al-Dawsari (40'), Abdulhamid (82')
Traore (38')
Traore (39'), Coulibaly (40'), Wague (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!