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Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1.45pm UK
Varkert Sportpalya

Varda SE
3 - 1
MTK

Szeles (21'), Cipetic (56' pen.), Czekus (90+5')
Melnyk (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stieber (69')
Antonov (29'), Stieber (76'), Kosznovszky (81')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Varda SE and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varda SE 1-2 Kecskemeti TE
Sunday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest MTK win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.

Result
Varda SEDrawMTK
38.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 36.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.067 -0.07)49.06% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)71.13% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)25.2% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)59.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.33% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.47% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Varda SE 38.14%
    MTK 36.11%
    Draw 25.74%
Varda SEDrawMTK
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 36.11%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ferencvaros31225478285071
2Paksi SE3116694840854
3FehervarFehervar311651055391653
4Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy311310853332049
5Debrecen31136124744345
6MTK31127124158-1743
7Zalaegerszegi TE31126135257-542
8Diosgyor31118124856-841
9Kecskemeti TE31116144044-439
10UjpestUjpest31114164562-1737
11Varda SE3184193550-1528
12Mezokovesd-ZsoryMezokovesdi3155212758-3120


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