CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Levi's Stadium
We said: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts and Nevis
Unlike most squads at this tournament, Jamaica have brought in most of their top-end talent and given that first place is still up for grabs, they might have to be cold blooded in front of goal this weekend.
Saint Kitts rarely seem to be able to string together even three passes as they have been overwhelmed by the array of talent they are facing, while they have shown little quality when in possession themselves.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
| Result |
| Jamaica | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
47.35% ( 6.86) | 26.01% ( -0.54) | 26.64% ( -6.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( -1.67) |
