MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 10:52:04| >> :60:208:208:
Aston Villa logo
Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Chelsea

McGinn (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
34.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 40.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-0.058 -0.06)45.5% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-0.055 -0.05)67.83% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.34% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 34.48%
    Chelsea 40.62%
    Draw 24.9%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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