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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2020
Italy national football team
European Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Spain national football team

Italy
1 - 1
Spain

Chiesa (60')
Toloi (97'), Bonucci (118')
FT
(aet)
Morata (80')
Busquets (51')
Italy win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

The Azzurri faced their toughest test yet against Spain, who were the better side, in a pulsating match which finished 1-1 after 120 minutes.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's European Championship clash between Italy and Spain.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Italy and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2020 semi-final clash with Italy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%).

Result
ItalyDrawSpain
42.31%28.24%29.45%
Both teams to score 45.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.75%60.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.57%80.43%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17%63.83%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5%36.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71%73.29%
Score Analysis
    Italy 42.31%
    Spain 29.45%
    Draw 28.23%
ItalyDrawSpain
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.45%

How you voted: Italy vs Spain

Winner QF-1
75.3%
Draw
13.2%
Winner QF-2
11.4%
1164
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
3-0
Italy
Isco (13', 40'), Morata (77')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
1-1
Spain
De Rossi (82' pen.)
Vitolo (55')
> Match Report
Jun 27, 2016 5pm
Round of 16
Italy
2-0
Spain
Chiellini (33'), Pelle (91')
De Sciglio (24'), Pelle (54'), Motta (89')

Nolito (41'), Busquets (89'), Silva (94')
> Match Report
Mar 24, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-1
Spain
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2014 9pm
International Friendlies
Spain
1-0
Italy
> Match Report
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