Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park
Union SG0 - 3Fenerbahce
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leuven 0-2 Union SG
Saturday, March 2 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, March 2 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Union SG 1-1 Fenerbahce
We anticipate a tight first leg on Thursday between two sides who have enjoyed pleasing European campaigns thus far and possess plenty of quality. Given the high stakes as they jostle for an aggregate lead, we cannot quite pick a winner on Thursday and anticipate them heading into next week's meeting in Turkey on level terms. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Fenerbahce |
34.02% ( 0.03) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 40.76% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
