Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce3 - 1Ludogorets
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Fenerbahce and Ludogorets Razgrad.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-2 Hatayspor
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 7-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Fenerbahce | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
64.68% ( 0.15) | 18.6% ( 0.02) | 16.72% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.8% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.16% ( -0.43) | 32.84% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.46% ( -0.5) | 54.54% ( 0.51) |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.4% ( -0.08) | 9.6% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.89% ( -0.19) | 32.11% ( 0.2) |
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.46) | 32.74% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.52) | 69.29% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce 64.68%
Ludogorets Razgrad 16.72%
Draw 18.6%
Fenerbahce | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 64.68% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 16.72% |
How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Ludogorets
Fenerbahce
92.5%Draw
4.5%Ludogorets Razgrad
3.0%67
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-06 13:09:13
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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