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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
37.07% ( -0.82) | 24.77% ( -0.19) | 38.17% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 58.61% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.44% ( 0.89) | 44.56% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( 0.85) | 66.93% ( -0.85) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -0.03) | 23.73% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( -0.05) | 57.86% ( 0.05) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.93) | 23.15% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 1.35) | 57.03% ( -1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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