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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
50.94% ( 0.79) | 22.66% ( -0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( -0.59) | 39.2% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.47% ( -0.62) | 61.53% ( 0.62) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 0.06) | 15.57% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.47% ( 0.11) | 44.53% ( -0.11) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0.87) | 27.73% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -1.13) | 63.29% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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