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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
60.68% ( -0.1) | 20.47% ( 0.01) | 18.84% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% ( 0.07) | 38.13% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.59% ( 0.08) | 60.4% ( -0.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% ( -0.01) | 12.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% ( -0.01) | 37.83% ( 0.01) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% ( 0.13) | 33.68% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( 0.14) | 70.33% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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