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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
35.38% ( -0.19) | 25.4% ( -0) | 39.22% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( -0.01) | 47.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( -0.01) | 69.8% ( 0.01) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( -0.12) | 26.08% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.87% ( -0.16) | 61.13% ( 0.16) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( 0.09) | 23.97% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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