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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PEC Zwolle

Utrecht
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 PEC Zwolle

After threatening a shock victory in the opening stages at Feyenoord, Utrecht should be confident of earning maximum points versus an out-of-form Zwolle outfit. The Blauwvingers are stumbling towards trouble, and we feel that Jansen's woes in the PEC hotseat will continue on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
65.09% (1.705 1.7) 18.55% (-0.321 -0.32) 16.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-1.911 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (-1.076 -1.08)33.32% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (-1.243 -1.24)55.09% (1.245 1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.104 0.1)9.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.238 0.24)32.19% (-0.235 -0.23)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.192 -2.19)33.45% (2.194 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.472 -2.47)70.08% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 65.09%
    PEC Zwolle 16.36%
    Draw 18.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.566 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.47 0.47)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.144 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

FC Utrecht
79.2%
Draw
15.1%
PEC Zwolle
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Utrecht
Druijf (69' pen.)
Lam (39'), van den Berg (76')

Azarkan (34'), Seuntjens (48'), Viergever (84')
May 7, 2022 7pm
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Douvikas (11' pen.), Sylla (59'), Ramselaar (65' pen.), Mahi (66'), Janssen (86')
Saymak (75')
Strieder (64')
Jan 30, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
3-3
PEC Zwolle
Van de Streek (2'), Maher (53' pen.), Ter Avest (90+6')
Boussaid (73'), Balk (90+3')
Misidjan (4'), Lam (39' pen.), Buitink (67')
van Polen (90+3')
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (32' og.)
Paal (21'), Huiberts (54'), Lam (84')
Mahi (59')
St Jago (17'), Gustafson (85'), Elia (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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