Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
