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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Waalwijk logo

AZ
1 - 3
RKC Waalwijk

de Wit (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 RKC Waalwijk

This is expected to be a close affair between two sides in similar form, but having the home advantage on the final day of the season may just be enough to see the three points remain in Alkmaar. The hosts have netted twice in each of their last two outings, and so they are likely to do so again, while they do not tend to keep clean sheets which is why there will be an opportunity for Waalwijk to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
70.33% (2.09 2.09) 18.31% (-0.764 -0.76) 11.35% (-1.328 -1.33)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-1.688 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (0.012 0.01)44.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.014000000000003 0.01)66.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (0.565 0.56)11.3% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06% (1.223 1.22)35.94% (-1.226 -1.23)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (-2.252 -2.25)47.55% (2.248 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (-1.73 -1.73)82.9% (1.725 1.72)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.32%
    RKC Waalwijk 11.35%
    Draw 18.31%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.56 0.56)
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 9.28% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.437 0.44)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.21% (0.235 0.24)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 70.32%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.31%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.355 -0.36)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 11.35%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
70.0%
Draw
5.0%
RKC Waalwijk
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30pm
May 1, 2021 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')
Nov 1, 2020 7pm
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Stengs (5'), Gudmundsson (72', 90+1')
Hatzidiakos (34')

Ngonge (56'), Azhil (83')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
AZ
4-0
RKC Waalwijk
Idrissi (29', 51'), Boadu (36'), Stengs (65')

Mulder (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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