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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 63.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
63.32% | 21.5% | 15.19% |
Both teams to score 47.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.93% | 49.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% | 71.15% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.13% | 14.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% | 43.21% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.34% | 44.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.34% | 80.66% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.25% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.35% 1-2 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 2.16% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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