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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Lillestrom

Tromso
3 - 1
Lillestrom

Gundersen (66'), Erlien (72' pen.), Paintsil (89')
Gundersen (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garnas (45+1')
Svendsen (24'), Garnas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Tromso
Sunday, July 30 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 0-0 Lillestrom

Games involving Tromso IL have often been low-scoring affairs so far this season, while Lillestrom have struggled to find the back of the net on the road. Given that the two teams are also fairly evenly-matched, we expect Sunday's game to finish as a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
28.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 46.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.32% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.27% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.055 -0.05)66.44% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.012 -0.01)52.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 28.69%
    Lillestrom 46.5%
    Draw 24.81%
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.5%

How you voted: Tromso vs Lillestrom

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Lillestrom
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Lillestrom
1-1
Tromso
Christiansen (90+4')
Kitolano (36')
Kitolano (90+5')
May 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-2
Lillestrom
Kitolano (42'), Ebiye (90+2')
Gundersen (9')
Matthew (60'), Dragsnes (72')
Christiansen (85'), Adams (90')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-2
Tromso
Lehne Olsen (90+1' pen.)
Ogbu (68')
Vesterlund (27'), Mikkelsen (62')
Psyche (71'), Vesterlund (77')
Jun 20, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Tromso
1-2
Lillestrom
Mikkelsen (26')
Lehne Olsen (2', 52')
Ranger (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt87102141722
2SK BrannBrann9621156920
3MoldeMolde9522189917
4Fredrikstad8521167917
5KFUM OsloKFUM83321010012
6Viking FKViking FK83321011-112
7RosenborgRosenborg83141013-310
8Lillestrom83141013-310
9FK HaugesundHaugesund8314811-310
10StromsgodsetStromsgodset8314813-510
11KristiansundKristiansund82331013-39
12Odd9225920-118
13HamKam9144121027
14SandefjordSandefjord7214101007
15Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg8215817-97
16Tromso ILTromso7106715-83


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