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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Haugesund Stadion
Lillestrom

Haugesund
1 - 0
Lillestrom

Reese (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoff (74'), Adams (90+5')
Adams (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between FK Haugesund and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Haugesund
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: FK Haugesund 1-2 Lillestrom

Despite the difference in points and league positions, this has the potential to be a close match with Liilestrom possessing the joint-worst defensive record in the top nine. Nevertheless, we still expect the visitors to edge this contest, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
FK HaugesundDrawLillestrom
28.57% (-0.223 -0.22) 24.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 46.74% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-0.311 -0.31)46.89% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.291 -0.29)69.14% (0.289 0.29)
FK Haugesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)30.13% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (-0.386 -0.39)66.28% (0.384 0.38)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)20.13% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)52.4% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    FK Haugesund 28.57%
    Lillestrom 46.74%
    Draw 24.69%
FK HaugesundDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.031 0.03)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.74%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 4pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lillestrom
1-0
Haugesund
Fridjonsson (87')
Knudsen (58')

Reese (61'), Selvik (79')
Aug 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 16
Haugesund
0-3
Lillestrom

Hansen (89'), Velde (90')
Gustafsson (21', 23'), Fredriksen (90+2' og.)
Kairinen (34'), Garnas (60'), Gustafsson (64'), Edh (90+1')
Jun 13, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lillestrom
2-1
Haugesund
T. Hansen (24' og.), Lehne Olsen (43' pen.)
Matthew (78'), Andre Helland (87'), Garnas (90+6')
Liseth (21')
Therkildsen (26'), Stolas (42'), Sande (90')
Ndour (78')
Aug 25, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 19
Haugesund
0-2
Lillestrom

Kone (46')
Lehne Olsen (64'), Haakenstad (87')
Odemarksbakken (21'), Salquist (35'), Naesbak Brenden (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt76101741319
2SK BrannBrann8521135817
3Fredrikstad7421126614
4MoldeMolde8422149514
5Viking FKViking FK733197212
6RosenborgRosenborg7313910-110
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset731379-210
8KristiansundKristiansund72321012-29
9KFUM OsloKFUM723279-29
10Odd8224916-78
11SandefjordSandefjord62139817
12Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg7214710-37
13FK HaugesundHaugesund7214711-47
14Lillestrom7214612-67
15HamKam804459-44
16Tromso ILTromso6105711-43


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