MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 20:07:57| >> :600:2761847:2761847:
Rochdale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Salford City

Rochdale
2 - 2
Salford City

Henderson (42'), Kelly (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Simoes (69'), Hendry (71')
Simoes (84'), Watt (88')
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Rochdale and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
31.06% (-0.229 -0.23) 26.21% (0.333 0.33) 42.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.29% (-1.154 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (-1.448 -1.45)52.1% (1.451 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (-1.264 -1.26)73.82% (1.266 1.27)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)31.03% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-1.053 -1.05)67.34% (1.055 1.05)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.68600000000001 -0.69)24.18% (0.688 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-0.98699999999999 -0.99)58.5% (0.988 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 31.06%
    Salford City 42.73%
    Draw 26.2%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.288 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.14% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.423 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.73%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
1-1
Salford City
Ball (27')
Kelly (72')
Lund (66')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Salford City
0-0
Rochdale

Willock (32'), Lowe (50'), Touray (70')

Broadbent (17'), O'Keeffe (68')
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-2
Salford City
Beesley (8')
Rathbone (80'), (90+6')
Andrade (53'), Dieseruvwe (82' pen.)
(57'), Burgess (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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