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MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:
Last Game: Morecambe 0-4 MK Dons
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
62.77% (-0.247 -0.25) 20.73% (0.107 0.11) 16.5% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (-0.238 -0.24)43.36% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)65.76% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)13.21% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.05% (-0.295 -0.3)39.94% (0.288 0.29)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.023000000000003 0.02)39.47% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.022000000000002 0.02)76.17% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 62.76%
    Cheltenham Town 16.5%
    Draw 20.73%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.68%
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.73%
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.5%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
Jan 31, 2009 3pm
Cheltenham
3-5
MK Dons
Spencer (68', 75', 81' pen.)
Owusu (37')
Johnson (17', 71'), Wilbraham (44', 45', 59')
Gueret (68'), Stirling (80'), Puncheon (90')
rhs 2.0
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