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EFL Cup
Cheltenham Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
0 - 7
Exeter


Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

Last Six:
Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-3 Exeter City

 While Cheltenham have started the season with two defeats, Exeter will be in confident mood after collecting four points from their opening games, and we expect the League One side to continue their unbeaten start with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
28.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 47.98% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.92% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)64.33% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)63.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)48.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 28.45%
    Exeter City 47.98%
    Draw 23.56%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 47.98%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Exeter City
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
P-P
Exeter
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Cheltenham

Jay (87'), Martin (93')

Varney (72'), Thomas (81')
rhs 2.0
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