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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Peterborough United

Chelsea U21s
2 - 4
Peterborough

Clarke-Harris (26'), Taylor (61')
Kyprianou (50'), Thompson (65'), Taylor (72'), Jade-Jones (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mothersille (18', 45+1'), Casadei (23'), Elliott (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea U21s 3-0 Spurs U21s
Monday, November 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Chelsea Under-21s 1-1 Peterborough United (Chelsea advance on penalties)

Chelsea are in fine form and do not appear to be bothered if they go behind, plus their quality and experience in these elimination games should propel them to a narrow victory this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
70.95% (-1.075 -1.08) 17.48% (0.463 0.46) 11.57% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-0.451 -0.45)39.57% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-0.473 -0.47)61.92% (0.471 0.47)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.376 -0.38)9.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.14% (-0.878 -0.88)32.85% (0.876 0.88)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74% (0.785 0.79)44.25% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.635 0.63)80.33% (-0.636 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 70.94%
    Peterborough United 11.57%
    Draw 17.48%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.03% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.21% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 70.94%
1-1 @ 8.27% (0.215 0.22)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.48%
0-1 @ 3.58% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.57%

How you voted: Chelsea U21s vs Peterborough

Chelsea Under-21s
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2019 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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