MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 07:22:17| >> :600:464752:464752:
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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Gillingham

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
59.17% (0.432 0.43) 23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (-0.499 -0.5)53.75% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (-0.422 -0.42)75.23% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.9% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.802 -0.8)44.73% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.651 -0.65)80.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%
    Gillingham 17.26%
    Draw 23.57%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Wolves vs Gillingham

Wolverhampton Wanderers
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gillingham
14.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Wolves
4-0
Gillingham
Griffiths (4', 68' pen.), Evans (24'), Sako (30')
Feb 19, 2005 3pm
Wolves
2-2
Gillingham
Miller (60'), Clarke (90')
Naylor (90')
Flynn (89'), Henderson (55')
Southall (54')
Oct 30, 2004 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Wolves
Jarvis (18')
Hessenthaler (13'), Sidibe (38')
Cox (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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