MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 09:13:24| >> :600:385018:385018:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Exeter City
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (73'), Scott (84')
Caldwell (0'), Aimson (51'), Diabate (81'), Rankine (90+8'), Richards (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lolas (15')
Omole (18'), Mukena (40'), Henry (71'), Johnson (76'), Fish (81'), Lolas (90+3')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Exeter
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
40.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)68.4% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.17%
    Crawley Town 34.79%
    Draw 25.04%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.17%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter City
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Dieng (31', 44')
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 32
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (77'), Bowman (84')
Watters (40')
Frost (45')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
1-1
Crawley
Dickenson (82')
Moxey (42')
Nadesan (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!