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Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the away goals rule could play a role in how both sides approach this game - Milan may be happy to sit in and try to strike a blow on the counter - the greater goal threat that Inter pose is set to see them through to the final. A number of options in attack, by contrast with their rivals' recent troubles in that department, may ultimately decide the destiny of this contest in the Nerazzurri's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
49.14%22.64%28.22%
Both teams to score 62.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.66%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.14%
    AC Milan 28.22%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
AC Milan
18.1%
215
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
AC Milan
Lukaku (71' pen.), Eriksen (90+7')
Lukaku (45'), Brozovic (52'), Hakimi (90+10')
Ibrahimovic (31')
Kjaer (17'), Ibrahimovic (45+1'), Rebic (65'), Kessie (90+9')
Ibrahimovic (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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