Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Given Cagliari's defensive deficiencies - clearly apparent when losing at home to Milan earlier this season - and their lack of fortitude when on the road, even a much-changed Milan side should safely secure a place in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
58.43% ( 0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 19.04% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( 0.01) | 47.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( 0.01) | 69.26% ( -0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% ( 0) | 15.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( 0.01) | 44.9% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.33% ( 0) | 38.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.59% ( 0) | 75.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 58.43%
Cagliari 19.04%
Draw 22.52%
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.04% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Cagliari
AC Milan
90.5%Draw
4.8%Cagliari
4.8%84
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 11:17:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Atalanta vs. Marseille - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Nott'm Forest vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Wolves vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups
4
How Chelsea could line up against Nottingham Forest
5
The top 20 most dramatic injury-time winners in football history
6
Netherlands international 'interested in Man United move'
7
Spurs vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Arsenal injury list and return dates before Man United - Jurrien Timber latest
9
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
10
Real Madrid hero Joselu sets Champions League scoring record
Sport News 24/7