CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.10am UK
The National Stadium
We said: Jamaica 2-0 Honduras
It is difficult to envision the Jamaican unbeaten run in this competition ending against a side who are going through a rebuilding process, and the experience and overall quality of the Reggae Boyz should propel them to a comfortable victory on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
| Result |
| Jamaica | Draw | Honduras |
55.97% ( 0.32) | 25.39% ( -0.15) | 18.64% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( 0.14) |
| 41.6% ( 0.32) | 58.4% ( -0.32) |
| 21% ( 0.25) | 79% ( -0.25) |
| 79.08% ( 0.26) | 20.92% ( -0.26) |
