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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
2 - 1
Leeds

Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-4 Leeds United

While Preston may feel that they can play with a certain level of freedom on Boxing Day, that may not necessarily help them. Leeds appear to be building momentum, leading us to predict a comprehensive win for the Yorkshire giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
27.2% (-0.525 -0.53) 24.78% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.02% (0.598 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)70.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)31.82% (0.414 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (-0.477 -0.48)68.26% (0.47699999999999 0.48)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.244 0.24)20.1% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.391 0.39)52.35% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 27.2%
    Leeds United 48.02%
    Draw 24.78%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.02%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Leeds United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
0-2
Preston

Roberts (59'), Klich (72'), Dallas (90')
Johnson (2' pen.), Barker (45')
Fisher (66'), Moult (71'), Browne (87'), Harrop (89'), Davies (90')
Ledson (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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