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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
0 - 1
Burnley


Lockyer (77'), Adebayo (80')
Lockyer (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barnes (78' pen.)
Brownhill (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Burnley

Luton are hunting for a top six place this season but will still regard this clash with Burnley as a free hit, highlighting how good Kompany's men are proving to be this term. The Clarets will be energised by their late equaliser against Watford last time out and should be able to earn three points in this one, even if the defence is slightly makeshift. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
37.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 26.53% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 36.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.211 -0.21)52.42% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.182 -0.18)74.1% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.058 -0.06)62.85% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.187 -0.19)27.76% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.242 -0.24)63.33% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 37.06%
    Burnley 36.41%
    Draw 26.52%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
19.4%
Draw
17.9%
Burnley
62.7%
67
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Luton
2-3
Burnley
Howard (43'), Feeney (60')
Barnett (54')
Akinbiyi (15', 31', 54')
Jensen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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