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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Bristol City

Derby
1 - 3
Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Bristol City

For all of their struggles away from home, Derby have been outstanding at Pride Park, and it makes them clear favourites to claim three points from this fixture. While Bristol City possess a greater sense of belief off the back of their recent improvements, the Rams should have enough to come through this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
52.84%23.98%23.18%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.18%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06%71.94%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.83%
    Bristol City 23.18%
    Draw 23.98%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Bristol City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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