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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Blackpool |
43.89% ( 1.96) | 28.02% ( 0.16) | 28.08% ( -2.12) |
Both teams to score 45.5% ( -1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.94% ( -1.35) | 60.06% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.72% ( -1.04) | 80.28% ( 1.04) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( 0.41) | 27.21% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( 0.53) | 62.62% ( -0.53) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( -2.39) | 37.49% ( 2.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( -2.42) | 74.27% ( 2.42) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.8) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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