Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica0 - 4Bayern
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.88% | 21.46% | 48.66% |
Both teams to score 68.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.3% | 30.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.97% | 52.03% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% | 13.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.96% | 40.04% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica 29.88%
Bayern Munich 48.66%
Draw 21.46%
Benfica | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 6.84% 1-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 5.71% 0-1 @ 5.66% 2-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 3.03% 2-4 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.66% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Bayern
Benfica
10.5%Draw
6.1%Bayern Munich
83.4%506
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-13 17:02:59
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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