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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
13.99% | 18.97% | 67.04% |
Both teams to score 52.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% | 40.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% | 62.86% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% | 41.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.84% | 11.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.37% | 35.63% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
1-0 @ 4.08% 2-1 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.99% | 1-1 @ 8.95% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.97% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 4.41% 1-4 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-5 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.01% Total : 67.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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