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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.72%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
10.26% | 15.02% | 74.72% |
Both teams to score 55.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.82% | 31.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.39% | 52.61% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% | 77.39% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.96% | 7.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.28% | 25.72% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.06% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.21% 2-0 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.26% | 1-1 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.06% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.02% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 5.94% 1-4 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 3.59% 0-5 @ 3.15% 1-5 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.27% 1-6 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.8% Total : 74.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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