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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
21.78% | 21.57% | 56.65% |
Both teams to score 59.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.99% | 39.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.67% | 61.33% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% | 31.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% | 67.72% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% | 13.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.73% 1-0 @ 4.96% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.78% | 1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 6.54% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.26% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |