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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
42.3% | 24.69% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 58.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% | 44.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% | 21.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% | 54.18% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% | 26.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% | 61.27% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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