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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
79.1% ( -0.78) | 12.55% ( 0.52) | 8.35% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.48% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.37% ( -1.97) | 24.63% ( 1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.57% ( -2.64) | 44.43% ( 2.64) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.1% ( -0.5) | 4.89% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.35% ( -1.52) | 19.65% ( 1.52) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% ( -1.13) | 39.56% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.75% ( -1.06) | 76.24% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.56) 5-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 6.2% Total : 79.1% | 1-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 12.55% | 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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