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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 93.35%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 1.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 4-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 5-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Greuther Furth |
93.35% | 4.86% | 1.79% |
Both teams to score 41.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
83.51% | 16.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
67.02% | 32.98% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.24% | 1.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
91.11% | 8.89% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.97% | 58.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.39% | 89.61% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Greuther Furth |
4-0 @ 11.43% 3-0 @ 11.29% 5-0 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.37% 6-0 @ 6.25% 4-1 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 6.15% 5-1 @ 5.04% 2-1 @ 4.56% 1-0 @ 4.14% 7-0 @ 3.61% 6-1 @ 3.4% 7-1 @ 1.97% 8-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.37% 8-1 @ 1% 6-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.17% Total : 93.34% | 1-1 @ 2.25% 2-2 @ 1.24% 0-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.35% Total : 4.86% | Other @ 1.79% Total : 1.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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